Want to know why GBPUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 ECB Interest Rate Decision events in Euro Area, we expect a $530 movement on GBPUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 10 Jun 11:45. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 10 Jun 11:45 if the released value is = 0%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

22 Apr 11:45
11 Mar 12:45
21 Jan 12:45
10 Sep 11:45
04 Jun 11:45
30 Apr 11:45
12 Mar 12:45
23 Jan 12:45