Want to know why GBPUSD is going upwards today?

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United Kingdom, we expect a $370 movement on GBPUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 10 Dec 07:00. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 10 Dec 07:00 if the released value is < £0.5B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Sep 06:00
09 Apr 06:00
10 Dec 09:30