Want to know why HE is going downwards for the next 2 hours?

Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect a $261.544 movement on HE within the next 2 hours. We expect HE to trend downwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is > 150K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Nov 12:30
06 Aug 12:30
02 Jul 12:30
05 Mar 13:30