Want to know why NZDUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect a $90 movement on NZDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 25 Mar 12:30. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 25 Mar 12:30 if the released value is < -0.8% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Dec 13:30
24 Oct 12:30
26 Jun 12:30