Want to know why NZDUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Australia, we expect a $130 movement on NZDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 02 Dec 00:30. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 02 Dec 00:30 if the released value is > A$11B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Nov 00:30
05 Oct 00:30
02 Sep 01:30
03 Jun 01:30
04 Feb 00:30
03 Dec 00:30