Want to know why NZDUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Claimant Count Change events in United Kingdom, we expect a $400 movement on NZDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 26 Jan 07:00. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 26 Jan 07:00 if the released value is < 35K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Nov 07:00
13 Oct 06:00
15 Sep 06:00
16 Jul 06:00
21 Apr 06:00
17 Mar 09:30
18 Feb 09:30