Want to know why NZDUSD is going upwards today?

Based on the last 12 GfK Consumer Confidence events in United Kingdom, we expect a $120 movement on NZDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 20 Aug 23:01. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 20 Aug 23:01 if the released value is > -25

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion