Want to know why USDCAD is going downwards for the next 2 hours?

Based on past Germany Inflation Rate YoY Prel news events there is a 75% chance of USDCAD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 7.4%. A price movement of 34 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 May 12:00
28 Apr 12:00
30 Mar 12:00
06 Jan 13:00
29 Nov 13:00
29 Jul 12:00