Want to know why USDCAD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect a $105.756 movement on USDCAD within 2 hours following the event release at 14 Feb 13:30. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 14 Feb 13:30 if the released value is > 0.3%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Nov 13:30
16 Jul 12:30
18 Apr 12:30
11 Mar 12:30