Want to know why USDCHF is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Business Confidence events in Euro Area, we expect a $102.865 movement on USDCHF within 2 hours following the event release at 30 Jan 10:00. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 30 Jan 10:00 if the released value is > -0.19

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Aug 09:00
27 Feb 10:00