Want to know why USDCHF is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect a $503.258 movement on USDCHF within 2 hours following the event release at 07 Aug 12:30. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 07 Aug 12:30 if the released value is > 1600K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Feb 13:30
01 Nov 12:30