What to trade around Australia RBA Interest Rate Decision news event

Based on the last 12 RBA Interest Rate Decision events in Australia, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 01 Mar 03:30 if the released value is = 0.1%. A price movement of 21 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Dec 03:30
02 Nov 03:30
05 Oct 03:30
07 Sep 04:30
01 Jun 04:30
04 May 04:30
02 Mar 03:30
02 Feb 03:30