What to trade around Australia Unemployment Rate news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Australia, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 72.73% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 16 Dec 00:30 if the released value is < 5%. A price movement of 17 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Oct 00:30
16 Sep 01:30
19 Aug 01:30
15 Jul 01:30
17 Jun 01:30
15 Apr 01:30
18 Mar 00:30
18 Feb 00:30