What to trade around Canada Employment Change news event

Based on the last 12 Employment Change events in Canada, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 09 Apr 12:30 if the released value is > -350K. A price movement of 39 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Mar 13:30
10 Jan 13:30
06 Sep 12:30
07 Jun 12:30
10 May 12:30