What to trade around Canada Employment Change news event

Based on the last 12 Employment Change events in Canada, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 09 Jul 12:30 if the released value is > 195K. A price movement of 45 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Apr 12:30
04 Dec 13:30
09 Oct 12:30
10 Jul 12:30