What to trade around Canada Ivey PMI s.a news event

Based on the last 12 Ivey PMI s.a events in Canada, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is > 60.5. A price movement of 16 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Feb 15:00
06 Nov 15:00
07 Jul 14:00
05 Jun 14:00