What to trade around Canada Ivey PMI s.a news event

Based on the last 12 Ivey PMI s.a events in Canada, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 04 Sep 14:00 if the released value is < 68.7. A price movement of 18 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Apr 14:00
07 Jan 15:00
06 Nov 15:00
04 Oct 14:00