What to trade around Canada Ivey PMI s.a news event

Based on the last 12 Ivey PMI s.a events in Canada, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 05 Feb 15:00 if the released value is < 47. A price movement of 58 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Dec 15:00
07 Oct 14:00
04 Sep 14:00
07 May 14:00