What to trade around Canada Ivey PMI s.a news event

Based on the last 12 Ivey PMI s.a events in Canada, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 05 Mar 15:00 if the released value is > 49. A price movement of 24 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Feb 15:00
06 Nov 15:00
07 Aug 14:00
07 Jul 14:00
05 Jun 14:00