What to trade around Euro Area ECB Interest Rate Decision news event

Based on the last 12 ECB Interest Rate Decision events in Euro Area, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is = 0%. A price movement of 49 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Apr 11:45
12 Mar 12:45
23 Jan 12:45
24 Oct 11:45
12 Sep 11:45
25 Jul 11:45
10 Apr 11:45
07 Mar 12:45