What to trade around Euro Area Industrial Production YoY news event

Based on the last 12 Industrial Production YoY events in Euro Area, we expect USDJPY to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect USDJPY to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 14 Dec 10:00 if the released value is > -4.4%. A price movement of 10 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Sep 09:00
16 Apr 09:00
12 Mar 10:00
12 Dec 10:00