What to trade around Euro Area Industrial Production YoY news event

Based on the last 12 Industrial Production YoY events in Euro Area, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is > -3.3%. A price movement of 23 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Dec 10:00
12 Jun 09:00
16 Apr 09:00
12 Mar 10:00