What to trade around Euro Area Unemployment Rate news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Euro Area, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 01 Apr 09:00 if the released value is = 7.4%. A price movement of 11 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Mar 10:00
29 Nov 10:00
30 Aug 09:00
01 Apr 09:00