What to trade around Euro Area Unemployment Rate news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Euro Area, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 04 Mar 10:00 if the released value is < 8.3%. A price movement of 40 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

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