What to trade around France GDP Growth Rate QoQ 1st Est news event

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 1st Est events in France, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 30 Oct 06:30 if the released value is > 15.4%. A price movement of 19 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Jul 05:30
30 Jan 06:30
30 Jan 06:30