What to trade around France GDP Growth Rate QoQ 1st Est news event

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 1st Est events in France, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 30 Apr 05:30 if the released value is > 0.1%. A price movement of 9 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Jan 06:30
30 Oct 06:30
31 Jul 05:30
30 Oct 06:30