What to trade around France Unemployment Rate news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in France, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 88.89% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 16 Feb 06:30 if the released value is < 9%. A price movement of 22 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

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14 May 05:30
13 Feb 06:30
14 Aug 05:30
16 May 05:30
20 Nov 06:30
14 Aug 05:30
15 Feb 06:30