What to trade around Germany Ifo Business Climate news event

Based on the last 12 Ifo Business Climate events in Germany, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 24 Sep 08:00 if the released value is < 98.9. A price movement of 47 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Aug 08:00
26 Jul 08:00
26 Oct 09:00
24 Sep 08:00