What to trade around Germany Inflation Rate YoY Prel news event

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Germany, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 30 Nov 13:00 if the released value is < -0.1%. A price movement of 40 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Sep 12:00
30 Jul 12:00
28 Nov 13:00