What to trade around Germany Inflation Rate YoY Prel news event

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Germany, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 01 Mar 13:00 if the released value is > 1.2%. A price movement of 49 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

28 Jan 13:00
29 Oct 13:00
29 Apr 12:00