What to trade around Germany Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash news event

Based on the last 12 Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash events in Germany, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 77.78% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is > 65.8. A price movement of 32 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Mar 08:30
19 Feb 08:30
16 Dec 08:30
23 Nov 08:30
23 Oct 07:30
23 Sep 07:30
24 Jul 07:30