What to trade around Italy GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv news event

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv events in Italy, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is > 1.3%. A price movement of 11 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Apr 08:00
30 Oct 09:00
30 Apr 10:00
31 Oct 11:00
31 Jul 10:00
30 Apr 10:00