What to trade around Japan Consumer Confidence news event

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence events in Japan, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 31 May 05:00 if the released value is > 34. A price movement of 18 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Apr 05:00
04 Mar 05:00
02 Oct 05:00
31 Jul 05:00