What to trade around Japan GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel news event

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel events in Japan, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 16 Aug 23:50 if the released value is < -7.6%. A price movement of 19 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Nov 23:50