What to trade around Japan Unemployment Rate news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Japan, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 30 Sep 23:30 if the released value is < 2.9%. A price movement of 18 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

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