What to trade around New Zealand Interest Rate Decision news event

Based on the last 12 Interest Rate Decision events in New Zealand, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 24 Jun 02:00 if the released value is = 0.25%. A price movement of 11 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 May 02:00
12 Feb 01:00
26 Jun 02:00
08 May 02:00
13 Feb 01:00
26 Sep 21:00