What to trade around Switzerland Consumer Confidence news event

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence events in Switzerland, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is < -8. A price movement of 13 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Apr 09:30
04 Nov 06:45
03 May 05:45
02 Aug 05:45
02 Nov 06:45