What to trade around Switzerland Consumer Confidence news event

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence events in Switzerland, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 04 Feb 06:45 if the released value is < -17. A price movement of 21 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Apr 09:30
05 Feb 06:45
04 Nov 06:45
03 May 05:45
02 Aug 05:45