What to trade around Switzerland Consumer Confidence news event

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence events in Switzerland, we expect SI to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect SI to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 01 Feb 08:00 if the released value is < 4.5. A price movement of 19 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Nov 08:00
04 May 07:00
05 Nov 06:45
15 Apr 09:30
04 Nov 06:45