What to trade around Switzerland KOF Leading Indicators news event

Based on the last 12 KOF Leading Indicators events in Switzerland, we could expect BP to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect BP to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 30 May 07:00 if the released value is > 102.3. A price movement of 16 pips could result.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

28 Jan 08:00
30 Dec 08:00
29 Oct 07:00
30 Sep 07:00