What to trade around Switzerland SNB Interest Rate Decison news event

Based on the last 12 SNB Interest Rate Decison events in Switzerland, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 72.73% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 23 Sep 07:30 if the released value is = -0.75%. A price movement of 37 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Mar 08:30
17 Dec 08:30
24 Sep 07:30
18 Jun 07:30
19 Sep 07:30
13 Jun 07:30
21 Mar 08:30
20 Sep 07:30