What to trade around United Kingdom Balance of Trade news event

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United Kingdom, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is < £-1.2B. A price movement of 27 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Dec 07:00
11 Sep 06:00
09 Apr 06:00