What to trade around United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision news event

Based on the last 12 BoE Interest Rate Decision events in United Kingdom, we expect GF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 72.73% chance of this. We expect GF to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 03 Feb 12:00 if the released value is = 0.5%. A price movement of 246 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Nov 12:00
05 Aug 11:00
06 May 11:00
05 Nov 07:00
17 Sep 11:00