What to trade around United Kingdom Claimant Count Change news event

Based on the last 12 Claimant Count Change events in United Kingdom, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 26 Jan 07:00 if the released value is > 35K. A price movement of 33 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Dec 07:00
11 Aug 06:00
16 Jun 06:00