What to trade around United Kingdom GfK Consumer Confidence news event

Based on the last 12 GfK Consumer Confidence events in United Kingdom, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 18 Dec 00:01 if the released value is < -31. A price movement of 13 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

20 Aug 23:01
23 Jul 23:01
05 Apr 23:01