What to trade around United Kingdom Inflation Rate YoY news event

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United Kingdom, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 18 Nov 07:00 if the released value is < 0.6%. A price movement of 16 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

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13 Nov 09:30