What to trade around United Kingdom Unemployment Rate news event

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in United Kingdom, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 12 Apr 06:00 if the released value is = 3.8%. A price movement of 17 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Feb 07:00
12 Oct 06:00
14 Sep 06:00
15 Jun 06:00