What to trade around United States Adp Employment Change news event

Based on the last 12 Adp Employment Change events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 01 Apr 12:15 if the released value is < -150K. A price movement of 16 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Dec 13:15
02 Oct 12:15
03 Jul 12:15
03 Apr 12:15