What to trade around United States Adp Employment Change news event

Based on the last 12 Adp Employment Change events in United States, we expect SB to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect SB to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 05 Jan 13:15 if the released value is > 400K. A price movement of 14 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Nov 12:15
06 Oct 12:15
03 Jun 12:15
03 Feb 13:15