What to trade around United States Adp Employment Change news event

Based on the last 12 Adp Employment Change events in United States, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 02 Mar 13:15 if the released value is < 388K. A price movement of 24 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Sep 12:15
04 Aug 12:15
05 May 12:15
03 Mar 13:15